Wingmark Analytics
Products / GateCast

US connections between 99 airports, graded A to F

“I’ve got 50 minutes in Chicago. Will I make it, and if I don’t, am I stuck overnight?” GateCast adds the odds to the layover time, and how long a missed connection would leave the traveller waiting.

In our test

7% → 27%

Possible connections graded A ended in a missed connection about 7% of the time; graded F, about 27%.

A
7%
B
11%
C
16%
D
20%
F
27%

Back-tested on about 1.23 million possible connections (estimated, checked 17 October 2026). “Missed connection” means real delays against an assumed transfer time; US DOT has no passenger records.

What it does

How GateCast works

Search, or check a connection you hold

Search flights, or enter the two flight numbers of a connection you already have.

A grade from a year of flight records

Each itinerary gets an A to F grade worked out from a year of US flight records for that weekday and season. That covers the time really available (getting off, the walk or train, any security re-screen, boarding close) and the wait for the next flight on the same airline (or its regional partner) if the connection fails.

Direct flights too

Direct flights are graded for lateness and cancellations.

Airport guides

29 airport connection guides add the layout at each hub.

Who it is for
Travellers choosing between itinerariesTravel businesses that want a clear signal next to each connection
How we work
Sourced

Every figure names its source and dates; if we can’t source it, we leave it out.

Tested out of sample

Grades are checked on weeks the model never saw.

Independent

We rank places, never airlines. We are not owned by, paid by or endorsed by any airline or airport.

Check a connection

getgatecast.com/check · or write to [email protected] Travel companies can try our grades free for four weeks on their own past bookings. See the free pilot →

Check a connection →

Other Wingmark products

All products →

Grades are estimates and carry no guarantee; always check your airline’s minimum connection time. Schedules come from the past year where no current timetable covers the date. International origins without a grade are listed without one.